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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | NM-P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6506–6010, n=12516) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 83% (5378–1106, n=6484) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.3M | $3.2M | $47K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #103 | PM monthly #529 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (18 of 29 open) | 71% (179 of 252 open) | 68% (105 of 154 open) | 78% (87 of 111 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 6% (won 100% of 256) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 100% of 859) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 22% (won 100% of 884) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 51% (won 100% of 2087) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
44 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | NM-P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $3.2K | — | No $396 |
| Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $912 | — | Yes $320 |
| Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $25 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils | — | Taylor Fritz $537 | — | Arthur Fils $533 |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $765 | — | Over $45 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Etcheverry opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry | — | Tomas Etcheverry $413 | — | Rinky Hijikata $366 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $614 | — | No $142 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $553 | — | No $29 |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | Cardinals $170 | — | Seahawks $398 |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $354 | — | No $172 |
| Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $267 | — | Yes $190 |
| Broncos vs. Panthers opposite sides · consensus Panthers | — | Broncos $300 | — | Panthers $26 |
| Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $316 | — | No $5 |
| Lions vs. Dolphins opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Dolphins $108 | — | Lions $169 |
| Will AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $116 | — | No $125 |
| Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $37 | — | No $31 |
| Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $4 | — | Yes $63 |
| Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $16 | — | No $36 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | Yes $7 | — | Yes $1.0M | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $9.6K | — | Yes $802 |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.2K | — | No $879 |
| Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | — | No $4.1K |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.3K | — | No $1.0K |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | — | No $486 |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $289 | — | No $1.5K |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | — | No $3 |
| Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $504 | — | No $1.1K |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $810 | — | No $620 |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $593 | — | No $806 |
| Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $751 | — | No $510 |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $247 | — | No $982 |
| Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $975 | — | No $182 |
| Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | No $7 |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $631 | — | No $442 |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $687 | — | No $331 |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $846 | — | No $136 |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $597 | — | No $285 |
| Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $426 | — | No $439 |
| Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $54 | — | No $742 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $739 | — | No $44 |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $610 | — | Under $137 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $558 | — | No $111 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $359 | — | No $240 |
| Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $301 | — | No $254 |
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $412 | — | No $139 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $284 | — | No $236 |
| Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $348 | — | No $131 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $119 | — | No $358 |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $248 | — | No $165 |