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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpRN1S-Worksyong32
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)75% (2542–853, n=3395)63% (5–3, n=8)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$14.9M$3.8M$111K
Tracked asPM monthly #15PM monthly #32 + pinnedPM monthly #54PM monthly #259
Sides with the consensus73% (100 of 137 open)57% (39 of 68 open)78% (7 of 9 open)80% (4 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%100% of 25 at avg 70¢, ROI −10%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)4% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)12% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)28% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)56% (won 100% of 14)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpRN1S-Worksyong32
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $273—Bilibili Gaming $384KT1 $21
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.6KUnder $2.4KOver $44K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus T1
——Bilibili Gaming $744KT1 $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13KOver $1.7K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5KYes $1.9K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859Over $3.0K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1KYes $7——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6KOver $36——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.4KOver $136——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446Under $1.4K——
Spread: Heat (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $929Kings $421——
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873Yes $315——
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $101Celtics $921——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471No $524——
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Nets $155Mavericks $763——
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837Yes $60——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $817Over $12——
Penguins vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Ducks
Penguins $48Ducks $672——
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $500Bucks $49——
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Clippers $376Pelicans $47——
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272No $11——
Flyers vs. Flames: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $130Under $110——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6Over $29——
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
same side · consensus T1
——T1 $863KT1 $3.5K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
——Bilibili Gaming $154KBilibili Gaming $9.1K
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $17KCoco Gauff $58K——
Pelicans vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $2.5K—Pelicans $57K—
Jazz vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $10KTimberwolves $49K——
Celtics vs. Bucks
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $3.9KCeltics $33K——
Nets vs. Mavericks
same side · consensus Mavericks
Mavericks $3.1KMavericks $18K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14KNo $2.5K——
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $5.9KPatrick Zahraj $5.8K——
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.3KYes $1.8K——
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.9KUnder $2.1K——
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Timberwolves $2.2KTimberwolves $2.6K——
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.3KUnder $1.2K——
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.7KOver $1.0K——
Spread: Celtics (-30.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Bucks $3.0KBucks $112——
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.1KOver $886——
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Mavericks $1.8KMavericks $1.1K——
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Mavericks $1.2KMavericks $738——
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K——
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $422Celtics $1.2K——
Spread: Mavericks (-11.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Mavericks $1.2KMavericks $344——
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $255Celtics $1.1K——
Spread: Mavericks (-10.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Mavericks $715Mavericks $482——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95Under $1.1K——
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751Boluspor $44——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702Under $20——
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173Yes $240——