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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorplossxprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)68% (269–127, n=396)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$4.1M-$2.4K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10was PM monthly #959PM monthly #52PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (115 of 165 open)no open consensus position56% (5 of 9 open)55% (33 of 60 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Crypto +3 pts n=35, ROI −11%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15Esports −3 pts, n=63——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%54% of 98 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 23% of 13)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)30% (won 38% of 29)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 59% of 34)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)22% (won 86% of 22)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

26 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorplossxprimmRN1
Jets vs. Chiefs
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Jets $67—Chiefs $21K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Dolphins $168—Lions $14K—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5.8K——Yes $2.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $605Over $5.0K
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.6K——Under $2.5K
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.6K——Yes $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613——Over $3.3K
Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AIK
AIK $3.4K——BK Hacken $465
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $6
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.8K——Under $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Juan Manuel Cerundolo $2.3K——Elias Ymer $163
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475——Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $851——Yes $326
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491——No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
Spread: PSV (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden $15——PSV $113
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $57K——No $4.8K
Bengals vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Bengals
——Bengals $36KBengals $5.3K
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $29K——No $8.6K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
Toby Samuel $5.9K——Toby Samuel $31K
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $22K——No $6.9K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
——Falcons $7.9KFalcons $1.6K
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6.9K——Yes $1.9K
CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Limache: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $4.8K——Under $2.5K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $91—Colts $4.9K—
Le Mans FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $4.0K——Under $587
Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $3.8K——No $80
Will Viking FK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $2.2K——No $121
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $2.2K——No $74
Will Viking FK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.2K——Yes $896
Spread: Bengals (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
——Falcons $1.4KFalcons $378
Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K——No $49
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3K——Yes $97
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95——Under $1.1K
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $800——No $55
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721——Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203——Under $41
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 2 Aston Villa FC?
same side · consensus No
Yes $21——Yes $89
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $51——Over $29