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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
cm2897FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)50% (1713–1686, n=3399)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)50% (26157–25785, n=51942)
Consensus PnL$57K$4.1M$14.9M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #523PM monthly #16PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus58% (7 of 12 open)76% (74 of 97 open)64% (25 of 39 open)66% (41 of 62 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won50% of 2060 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢23% (won 7% of 480)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 41% of 538)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 61% of 566)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up23% (won 90% of 476)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketcm2897FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7KUnder $20K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0KUnder $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36Under $1.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4KUnder $67
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6Over $29Under $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5KNo $3.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1KUnder $872
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177Under $41Under $801
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $2.1K—Bears $42K—
Spread: Bears (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
Buccaneers $4.0K—Bears $15K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.7K—No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Spread: Bears (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $47—Buccaneers $4.5K—
Spread: Bears (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
Buccaneers $626—Bears $2.3K—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $752
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $686—No $929
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $74
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FK Kolos Kovalivka
—FK Kolos Kovalivka $217—FK Polissia $270
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $280—Yes $6
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $138—Yes $2
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $17KCoco Gauff $58K—
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
—Keisuke Saitoh $618Keisuke Saitoh $24K—
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $496—Buccaneers $18K—
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.0K—Over $13K—
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
—Patrick Zahraj $5.9KPatrick Zahraj $5.8K—
Brisbane 3: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson
same side · consensus Sam Ryan Ziegann
—Sam Ryan Ziegann $1.4KSam Ryan Ziegann $5.6K—
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $116—Buccaneers $5.0K—
Matsuyama: Luca Staeheli vs Takuya Kumasaka
same side · consensus Takuya Kumasaka
—Takuya Kumasaka $3.0KTakuya Kumasaka $1.0K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7K—No $1.2K
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4K—No $117
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $153
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $754—Yes $282
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $319—Under $718
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $367—Under $606
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $922—Over $7
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
—Giles Hussey $370Giles Hussey $24—
Will Tamworth FC win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
—No $133—No $46
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $112—Yes $52