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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)92% (3701–313, n=4014)52% (6417–5939, n=12356)47% (13863–15370, n=29233)50% (20465–20314, n=40779)
Consensus PnL$89K$3.3M$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #624PM monthly #22PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus57% (4 of 7 open)74% (133 of 180 open)50% (14 of 28 open)68% (42 of 62 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +44 pts n=81, ROI +45%
  • NBA +40 pts n=350, ROI −2%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=521, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won100% of 1014 at avg 62¢, ROI +19%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 78)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 100% of 233)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 100% of 297)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 406)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1Under $14KOver $1.5KUnder $22K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $27No $14KNo $2.5KNo $3.1K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5Yes $2.6K—No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KOver $2.7KUnder $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36Under $1.5K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1No $1.2K—Yes $757
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3KUnder $64
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $831Yes $61No $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $345
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $116Yes $161No $289
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $28Under $12
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $102Under $1.1KUnder $945
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174Under $42Under $791
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3——Yes $3.8K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $422—Under $768
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $754Yes $375—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $705Yes $140
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $548—Yes $172
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $309No $10—
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $280—Yes $6
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14Under $181—
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $103—Over $54
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $125—Yes $3
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $109—Yes $2
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Elena Pridankina vs Alexandra Shubladze
same side · consensus Alexandra Shubladze
—Alexandra Shubladze $1.4KAlexandra Shubladze $1.6K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $1.1K
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
—Quentin Halys $861Quentin Halys $1.3K—
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2K—No $104
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $154
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $411—Under $677
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.0K—Over $7
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $746—Yes $270
Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro
same side · consensus Harold Mayot
—Harold Mayot $213Harold Mayot $118—
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $249Under $48—
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
—No $206—No $42
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 0 FK Polissia?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $135—Yes $95
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $138—Yes $65
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $102—Yes $79
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127—CD Pamplona $6
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $6—No $60