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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | CUTJALENHURTS | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (5571–5156, n=10727) | 52% (6520–6024, n=12544) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $587K | $3.5M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #105 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (24 of 28 open) | 72% (92 of 127 open) | 70% (302 of 429 open) | 74% (81 of 110 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Golf −2 pts, n=108 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 19% of 1341) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 35% (won 46% of 3607) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 35% (won 61% of 3523) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 17% (won 86% of 1699) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
22 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.