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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpMulticoloured-SerfRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)48% (349–378, n=727)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)51% (28105–27112, n=55217)
Consensus PnL$4.1M-$272K$14.8M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #35PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus67% (109 of 162 open)74% (14 of 19 open)65% (20 of 31 open)64% (44 of 69 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 258 at avg 52¢, ROI +50%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)1% (won 100% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)48% (won 100% of 123)22% (won 94% of 5704)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)46% (won 100% of 119)35% (won 99% of 9204)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 14)33% (won 100% of 8622)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

28 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpMulticoloured-SerfRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $6No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3KUnder $64
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $721—Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $51—Over $29Under $12
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $15KNo $10KNo $5.9K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1KUnder $872
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203—Under $41Under $801
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
Alexandra Eala $6.8K—Claire Liu $12K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.7K——No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $10——Under $5.2K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K——Yes $757
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $561——No $1.1K
Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.3KUnder $1——
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KOver $27
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $851—Yes $326—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $71
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491—No $524—
Bills vs. Vikings
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Bills $75Vikings $911——
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Crystal Palace FC
Liverpool FC $164Crystal Palace FC $753——
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $596——Yes $154
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $328——Yes $6
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11—
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $117——Over $54
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 0 - 3 FK Polissia?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $42——No $50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $119KNo $867K——
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $52KNo $22K——
Spread: Steelers (-14.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Browns $4.2KBrowns $65
FC København vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.0K—Under $452—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.6K——No $1.1K
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
——Falcons $1.6KFalcons $27
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2K——No $104
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0K——Yes $153
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $814——Yes $290
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.1K——Over $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $406——Under $595
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
Will SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $73—No $317—
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $209Over $147——
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
No $234——No $47
Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $38——No $212
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 0 FK Polissia?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $135——Yes $95