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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677Pan9XRN1
Record (consensus markets)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)43% (10–13, n=23)57% (11007–8361, n=19368)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$3.2M$19K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #7was PM monthly #979PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus65% (107 of 165 open)no open consensus position61% (36 of 59 open)52% (22 of 42 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=12———
Settled positions, side won56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 1676 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)3% (won 100% of 57)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)12% (won 100% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)26% (won 100% of 443)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)58% (won 100% of 973)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677Pan9XRN1
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14K—Yes $66No $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12K—Under $54Over $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—No $46Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $872—Over $298Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $81Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Under $106Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $63Under $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $9—Under $85Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $95—Over $39Under $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491—No $116No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—No $59Yes $60
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Hornets $169—Cavaliers $39Cavaliers $708
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Hawks $183—Lakers $46Lakers $210
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $116Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.8K—No $231—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.0K—No $41—
Orleans: Luca Nardi vs Alexander Ritschard
opposite sides · consensus Luca Nardi
Alexander Ritschard $195——Luca Nardi $850
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $956—Under $49—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $412—Over $152—
Lakers vs. Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Lakers $370—Hawks $37—
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Lucas Poullain
opposite sides · consensus Calvin Hemery
Lucas Poullain $284——Calvin Hemery $35
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $256——No $12
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $199—Over $7—
Monastir: Sandro Kopp vs Luka Mikrut
opposite sides · consensus Luka Mikrut
Luka Mikrut $102——Sandro Kopp $6
Bills vs. Vikings
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Bills $77—Vikings $29—
Lima: Franco Roncadelli vs Juan Sebastian Gomez
opposite sides · consensus Franco Roncadelli
Franco Roncadelli $20——Juan Sebastian Gomez $25
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
Billy Harris $1.7K——Billy Harris $6.2K
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Lui Maxted
same side · consensus Lui Maxted
Lui Maxted $206——Lui Maxted $3.4K
Pacers vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $72Over $1.9K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $10Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Nuggets vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
Rockets $1.1K—Rockets $54—
Pelicans vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Warriors
Pelicans $858—Pelicans $20—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751——Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721——Under $20
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $166——Lakers $461
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
No $596—No $9—
Pacers vs. Mavericks
same side · consensus Pacers
Mavericks $438—Mavericks $43—
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
Lakers $187——Lakers $248
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $52Over $360
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $170——Cavaliers $111
Missouri State Bears vs. Wyoming Cowboys (W)
same side · consensus Missouri State Bears
——Missouri State Bears $3Missouri State Bears $248
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203——Under $41
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Falcons
Falcons $92—Falcons $34—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $51——Over $29
Duke Blue Devils vs. North Texas Mean Green (W)
same side · consensus Duke Blue Devils
——Duke Blue Devils $29Duke Blue Devils $43
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Zizou Bergs
same side · consensus Holger Rune
Holger Rune $62—Holger Rune $8—