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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GingerMcKennaomnibus-076daaRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)28% (1585–4145, n=5730)50% (15433–15507, n=30940)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)50% (20827–20526, n=41353)
Consensus PnL$34K$3.1M$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #404PM monthly #60PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus63% (405 of 646 open)56% (86 of 153 open)59% (19 of 32 open)67% (41 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicTech −3 pts, n=329———
Settled positions, side won38% of 2743 at avg 38¢, ROI −2%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢59% (won 2% of 1618)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 28% of 100)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 75% of 106)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up34% (won 98% of 919)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGingerMcKennaomnibus-076daaRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $1.5KUnder $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.7KUnder $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $16—No $1.1K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $705Yes $140
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $161No $289
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $345
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pablo Perez Ramos
opposite sides · consensus Melios Efstathiou
—Pablo Perez Ramos $98Melios Efstathiou $227—
Taipei: Carl Overbeck vs Kasidit Samrej
opposite sides · consensus Kasidit Samrej
—Carl Overbeck $215Kasidit Samrej $107—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $115—Over $54
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3Yes $117——
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $72—Over $10
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $12Yes $33——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2Yes $41——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $28Under $12
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3Yes $30——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Tommy Paul
—Tommy Paul $137Tommy Paul $31K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $38—Yes $3.8K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $85Yes $2.3K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $945
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $64
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech
same side · consensus Arthur Rinderknech
—Arthur Rinderknech $11Arthur Rinderknech $1.3K—
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13Yes $1.3K——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $42Under $791
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5Yes $556——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
same side · consensus Under
—Under $34—Under $378
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $217—No $43
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
same side · consensus Over
—Over $188—Over $45
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4Yes $215——
Will CSD Independiente del Valle win on 2026-09-21?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $65—Yes $108
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
Yes $8Yes $154——
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $21Yes $97——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11Yes $64——
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10Yes $53——
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $44Yes $1——
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—Yes $38—Yes $3