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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighS-Works
Record (consensus markets)47% (41–47, n=88)75% (594–196, n=790)43% (129–174, n=303)67% (4–2, n=6)
Consensus PnL-$411K$19K$115K-$82K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #13PM monthly #37PM monthly #121
Sides with the consensus65% (13 of 20 open)67% (138 of 206 open)61% (49 of 80 open)0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%67% of 6 at avg 78¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)34% (won 10% of 30)6% (won 100% of 9)0%
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)19% (won 29% of 17)42% (won 100% of 63)17% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)13% (won 55% of 11)40% (won 100% of 61)17% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)34% (won 83% of 30)12% (won 100% of 18)67% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighS-Works
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $1.2K—Knicks $31KKnicks $18K
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $37KBucks $12Knicks $565—
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $17KOver $5Under $799—
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $4.7KKings $2Magic $434—
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)
same side · consensus Miami (OH)
Miami (OH) $70Miami (OH) $35Miami (OH) $4.6K—
Wild vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
——Canadiens $7.8KWild $66K
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Jazz $19K—Heat $22K—
Panthers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
—Blue Jackets $76Panthers $34K—
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $100Under $8.8K—
Spread: Magic (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $5.9KMagic $201——
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Magic $248Kings $5.6K—
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.2KOver $1.9K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
—Cameron Norrie $227Taylor Fritz $4.8K—
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—76ers $862Celtics $3.4K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $365Casper Ruud $3.0K—
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-25.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies
—Utah Tech Trailblazers $101Utah State Aggies $2.6K—
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Senators
—Capitals $398Senators $858—
Michigan State Spartans vs. Duke Blue Devils
opposite sides · consensus Duke Blue Devils
—Duke Blue Devils $255Michigan State Spartans $838—
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Memphis Tigers
—Vanderbilt Commodores $179Memphis Tigers $665—
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $322Over $155—
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $63Under $163—
Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Davidson Wildcats
—Davidson Wildcats $7Bradley Braves $31—
NJIT Highlanders vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights
opposite sides · consensus Rutgers Scarlet Knights
—Rutgers Scarlet Knights $10NJIT Highlanders $13—
Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios
same side · consensus Tomas Barrios
Tomas Barrios $39K—Tomas Barrios $9.6K—
Capitals vs. Senators
same side · consensus Capitals
—Capitals $93Capitals $46K—
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $6.2K—Over $16K—
Western Michigan vs. Akron
same side · consensus Western Michigan
Akron $20K—Akron $74—
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Bucks $18K—Bucks $381—
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
same side · consensus Jets
—Jets $47Jets $18K—
Heat vs. Jazz
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $8.5KHeat $6.2K——
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs
same side · consensus Maple Leafs
—Maple Leafs $75Maple Leafs $13K—
Michigan State Spartans vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 147.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5Under $13K—
Brisbane 3: Matthew Dellavedova vs Sebastian Gorzny
same side · consensus Sebastian Gorzny
—Sebastian Gorzny $1.6KSebastian Gorzny $8.9K—
Bucks vs. Knicks
same side · consensus Knicks
Bucks $8.5K—Bucks $418—
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 2 (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Perez/Schuurs
same side · consensus Siniakova/Townsend
—Siniakova/Townsend $3.9KSiniakova/Townsend $1.8K—
Florida Gators vs. Florida State Seminoles
same side · consensus Florida Gators
—Florida Gators $3.1KFlorida Gators $314—
Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5)
same side · consensus Kent State
Kent State $222—Kent State $1.4K—
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-13.5)
same side · consensus Wyoming Cowboys
—Wyoming Cowboys $9Wyoming Cowboys $346—
Spread: Duquesne Dukes (-3.5)
same side · consensus Washington State Cougars
—Washington State Cougars $172Washington State Cougars $155—
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $32Jazz $225——
Spread: Heat (-7.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $12Jazz $222——
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5Over $141—
Memphis Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores
same side · consensus Vanderbilt Commodores
—Vanderbilt Commodores $43Vanderbilt Commodores $59—
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-15.5)
same side · consensus Vanderbilt Commodores
—Vanderbilt Commodores $62Vanderbilt Commodores $19—
Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $57Under $5—
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 8.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $49Over $2—
Wild vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $8Under $1—