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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
btnaFlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)66% (49–25, n=74)55% (13164–10557, n=23721)48% (19424–21150, n=40574)51% (28265–27298, n=55563)
Consensus PnL$57K$1.9M$14.9M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #482PM monthly #14PM monthly #32 + pinnedPM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus60% (3 of 5 open)72% (88 of 123 open)52% (14 of 27 open)64% (47 of 73 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicTennis −18 pts, n=10Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won62% of 50 at avg 51¢, ROI +2%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 36% of 14)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 63% of 8)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 59% of 17)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 100% of 11)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbtnaFlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7KUnder $20K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0KUnder $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4KUnder $67
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $721Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $51Over $29Under $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5KNo $3.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1KUnder $872
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203Under $41Under $801
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.7K—No $15K
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $13KNo $218——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $5.4KNo $1.1K——
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
—Janice Tjen $4.6KMagda Linette $13—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $752
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $686—No $929
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $74
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491No $524—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $328—Yes $6
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $30—No $200
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $118—Over $54
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 0 - 3 FK Polissia?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $32—No $62
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7K—No $1.2K
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3K—No $118
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $153
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $754—Yes $279
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $412—Under $606
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $956—Over $7
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $161—Over $215
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
—No $185—No $35
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 0 FK Polissia?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $112—Yes $79
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $112—Yes $52
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $83—Yes $64
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $131—CD Pamplona $6
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 7.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $48—Over $5
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $7—No $23
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
—No $4No $22—
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $18—No $6