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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1Unit70
Record (consensus markets)50% (71–72, n=143)45% (220–264, n=484)66% (497–255, n=752)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$252K$123K-$131K—
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #35PM monthly #48 + pinnedPM monthly #819
Sides with the consensus44% (15 of 34 open)53% (61 of 116 open)59% (94 of 158 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%100% of 136 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%—
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)6% (won 100% of 8)6% (won 100% of 12)—
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)38% (won 100% of 51)13% (won 100% of 26)—
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)50% (won 100% of 68)30% (won 100% of 62)—
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)7% (won 100% of 9)51% (won 100% of 106)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 35 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1Unit70
Buffalo vs. Ball State
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
Buffalo $125KBall State $5.2KBuffalo $10K—
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $15KCeltics $880Raptors $450—
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Bucks $2.5KLakers $10KBucks $136—
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Bucks $150Bucks $33KBucks $25—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $9.9KRaptors $1.3KRaptors $627—
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Magic $87KJazz $5.5K——
Nets vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Nets $169Pelicans $29K——
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $12KKnicks $13K——
Buffalo vs. Ball State: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12K—Over $2.7K—
Rangers vs. Flames
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
Rangers $710Flames $8.3K——
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $7.4KOver $966—
Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6.1KOver $507—
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Grizzlies $6.0KNuggets $171—
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5.0KUnder $955—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $3.4KBucks $374—
Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Nets $3.0KPelicans $108—
UMass vs. Toledo
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
Toledo $1.7K—UMass $138—
Spread: Toledo (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus UMass
Toledo $520—UMass $1.3K—
Spread: Raptors (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Celtics $1.1KRaptors $534—
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Michigan Wolverines
opposite sides · consensus Michigan Wolverines
—Marquette Golden Eagles $327Michigan Wolverines $1.0K—
Spread: Buffalo (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buffalo
—Ball State $516Buffalo $637—
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 212.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $188Over $631—
Spread: Raptors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $13Raptors $770—
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $91Under $570—
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $103Over $543—
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Grizzlies $175Nuggets $460—
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $155Raptors $349—
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $198Over $247—
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $61Raptors $375—
Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $47Over $328—
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $77Under $262—
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $31Over $137—
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $50Under $90—
Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $109Over $3—
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2Under $28—
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2—Over $18—
Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1Over $5—
Spurs vs. Bulls
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $44KSpurs $2.6K—
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
same side · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $20KCavaliers $25K——
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $11KRaptors $235——
UMass vs. Toledo: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.4KOver $3.0K—
Spread: Pacers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $4.6KPacers $563—
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
Bulls $3.9KBulls $203——
Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5)
same side · consensus Central Michigan
—Central Michigan $3.0KCentral Michigan $456—
Lima: Lautaro Midon vs Miguel Tobon
same side · consensus Miguel Tobon
—Lautaro Midon $192Lautaro Midon $2.7K—
Spread: Toledo (-21.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—UMass $144UMass $2.4K—
Sacramento State vs. Central Michigan: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.8KUnder $622—
Spread: Toledo (-20.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—UMass $497UMass $1.8K—
Spread: Toledo (-17.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—UMass $1.1KUMass $1.2K—
Spread: Toledo (-16.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—UMass $449UMass $1.5K—