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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 43% (130–174, n=304) | 68% (360–171, n=531) |
| Consensus PnL | $0 | $100K | -$115K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #27 | PM monthly #40 | PM monthly #43 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (9 of 11 open) | 54% (59 of 110 open) | 58% (94 of 161 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −28 pts, n=12 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 865 at avg 61¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 16% of 100) | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 43% of 217) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 56% of 237) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 94% of 311) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
29 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Western Michigan (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan | Western Michigan $340 | Western Michigan $16K | Akron $859 |
| Spread: Western Michigan (-16.5) same side · consensus Western Michigan | Western Michigan $4.8K | Western Michigan $17 | Western Michigan $1.4K |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $20K | Over $3.4K |
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $23K | Jazz $64 |
| Kent State vs. Bowling Green opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green | — | Kent State $2.3K | Bowling Green $19K |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 205.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $5.3K | Under $463 |
| Spread: Western Michigan (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan | Western Michigan $3.0K | — | Akron $500 |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green | — | Kent State $1.8K | Bowling Green $1.6K |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green | — | Kent State $775 | Bowling Green $1.7K |
| Spread: Ohio (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ohio | — | Miami (OH) $2 | Ohio $2.2K |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Kent State | — | Kent State $61 | Bowling Green $2.2K |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $2.0K | Under $77 |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Celtics $797 | 76ers $351 |
| W75 Brisbane: Yuki Naito vs Mei Yamaguchi opposite sides · consensus Mei Yamaguchi | — | Yuki Naito $817 | Mei Yamaguchi $310 |
| Spread: Knicks (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Bucks $50 | Knicks $778 |
| Spread: Suns (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $485 | Suns $199 |
| Spread: Suns (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $217 | Suns $256 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $50 | Under $356 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $194 | Under $200 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $47 | Under $325 |
| Spread: Heat (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Heat $111 | Jazz $240 |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $84 | Heat $250 |
| Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Kentucky Wildcats | — | Kansas Jayhawks $220 | Kentucky Wildcats $111 |
| W75 Brisbane: Eva Bennemann vs Sijia Wei opposite sides · consensus Sijia Wei | — | Sijia Wei $139 | Eva Bennemann $175 |
| Spread: Knicks (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Bucks $2 | Knicks $259 |
| Spread: Suns (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $50 | Suns $208 |
| Panthers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $200 | Under $8 |
| Spread: Suns (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $85 | Suns $26 |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 203.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $4 | Under $4 |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | 76ers $44K | 76ers $160 |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | Suns $42K | Suns $412 |
| Knoxville: Marcos Giron vs Maks Kasnikowski same side · consensus Marcos Giron | — | Marcos Giron $19K | Marcos Giron $20K |
| Spread: Wild (-1.5) same side · consensus Canadiens | — | Canadiens $22K | Canadiens $142 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $7.8K | Under $51 |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $6.6K | Over $165 |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-2.5) same side · consensus Bowling Green | — | Bowling Green $3.0K | Bowling Green $3.3K |
| Spread: Suns (-10.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | Suns $5.1K | Suns $326 |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH) same side · consensus Ohio | Miami (OH) $2.5K | Miami (OH) $1.9K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-18.5) same side · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $1.2K | Knicks $2.7K |
| Spread: Utah State Aggies (-25.5) same side · consensus Utah State Aggies | — | Utah State Aggies $3.1K | Utah State Aggies $8 |
| Spread: Western Michigan (-20.5) same side · consensus Western Michigan | — | Akron $502 | Akron $2.3K |
| San Diego Toreros vs. Colorado Buffaloes same side · consensus Colorado Buffaloes | — | Colorado Buffaloes $2.1K | Colorado Buffaloes $151 |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | 76ers $10 | 76ers $1.7K |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-6.5) same side · consensus Kent State | — | Bowling Green $26 | Bowling Green $1.6K |
| Spread: Ohio (-14.5) same side · consensus Ohio | — | Miami (OH) $309 | Miami (OH) $1.1K |
| Spread: Ohio (-16.5) same side · consensus Miami (OH) | — | Miami (OH) $392 | Miami (OH) $912 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $928 | Under $100 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $14 | Under $712 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $4 | Under $666 |
| Spread: Knicks (-19.5) same side · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $75 | Knicks $474 |