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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | RN1 | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 43% (130–174, n=304) | 68% (360–171, n=531) | 41% (12–17, n=29) |
| Consensus PnL | $0 | $100K | -$115K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #27 | PM monthly #40 | PM monthly #43 + pinned | PM monthly #29 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (5 of 7 open) | 53% (51 of 96 open) | 58% (89 of 153 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −28 pts, n=12 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 865 at avg 61¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 82% of 55 at avg 47¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 16% of 100) | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 2% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 43% of 217) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 65% (won 78% of 36) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 56% of 237) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 29% (won 94% of 16) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 94% of 311) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 4% (won 50% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
26 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | RN1 | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $20K | Over $3.4K | — |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green | — | Kent State $1.8K | Bowling Green $1.8K | — |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green | — | Kent State $775 | Bowling Green $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Kent State | — | Kent State $61 | Bowling Green $2.4K | — |
| Spread: Ohio (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ohio | — | Miami (OH) $2 | Ohio $2.2K | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $2.0K | Under $77 | — |
| Spread: Suns (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $1.9K | Suns $189 | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $164 | Under $1.8K | — |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $1.6K | Heat $279 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $1.3K | 76ers $351 | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $30 | Over $1.1K | — |
| W75 Brisbane: Astra Sharma vs Tahlia Kokkinis opposite sides · consensus Astra Sharma | — | Tahlia Kokkinis $305 | Astra Sharma $813 | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $269 | Under $773 | — |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Jazz $84 | Heat $691 | — |
| Spread: Suns (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $485 | Suns $260 | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $50 | Under $609 | — |
| Spread: Suns (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $217 | Suns $431 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Magic $425 | Kings $50 | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $47 | Under $395 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Celtics $331 | 76ers $87 | — |
| W75 Brisbane: Eva Bennemann vs Sijia Wei opposite sides · consensus Sijia Wei | — | Sijia Wei $159 | Eva Bennemann $175 | — |
| Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Kentucky Wildcats | — | Kansas Jayhawks $220 | Kentucky Wildcats $111 | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $116 | Over $187 | — |
| Spread: Heat (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Jazz $30 | Heat $230 | — |
| Spread: Suns (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $50 | Suns $208 | — |
| Spread: Heat (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $5 | Heat $155 | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 212.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $59 | Under $72 | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $108K | Celtics $24K | — |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | Suns $42K | Suns $492 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | 76ers $40K | 76ers $160 | — |
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $30K | Heat $679 | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $7.8K | Under $51 | — |
| Magic vs. Kings same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $4.7K | Magic $2.0K | — |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-2.5) same side · consensus Bowling Green | — | Bowling Green $3.0K | Bowling Green $3.4K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Kings $5.7K | Kings $12 | — |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH) same side · consensus Ohio | Miami (OH) $2.5K | Miami (OH) $2.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Utah State Aggies (-25.5) same side · consensus Utah State Aggies | — | Utah State Aggies $3.1K | Utah State Aggies $8 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-5.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $588 | Celtics $1.4K | — |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-6.5) same side · consensus Kent State | — | Bowling Green $26 | Bowling Green $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Ohio (-14.5) same side · consensus Ohio | — | Miami (OH) $309 | Miami (OH) $1.1K | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $928 | Under $378 | — |
| Spread: Ohio (-16.5) same side · consensus Miami (OH) | — | Miami (OH) $392 | Miami (OH) $912 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | 76ers $10 | 76ers $873 | — |
| Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-13.5) same side · consensus Wyoming Cowboys | — | Wyoming Cowboys $512 | Wyoming Cowboys $13 | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $194 | Over $219 | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $333 | Under $74 | — |
| Spread: Heat (-12.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Heat $11 | Heat $377 | — |
| Spread: Suns (-4.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $374 | Clippers $2 | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $14 | Under $280 | — |
| Spread: Suns (-14.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | Suns $29 | Suns $127 | — |