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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) | 51% (28105–27112, n=55217) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $4.1M | $14.8M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #33 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (33 of 37 open) | 70% (113 of 161 open) | 56% (32 of 57 open) | 64% (44 of 69 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 7% (won 99% of 3291) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 18% (won 100% of 9212) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 20% (won 100% of 9904) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 56% (won 100% of 27970) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
36 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.7K | Under $21K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | Yes $6 | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $613 | Over $3.3K | Under $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $475 | Under $1.3K | Under $64 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | Yes $60 | No $174 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $721 | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $51 | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $651K | No $52K | No $7.3K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $2.5K | No $3.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | Under $1.1K | Under $872 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $203 | Under $41 | Under $801 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2.7K | — | No $15K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $10 | — | Under $5.2K |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.6K | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus AIK | — | AIK $3.5K | BK Hacken $465 | — |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.8K | Under $5 | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel Cerundolo | — | Juan Manuel Cerundolo $2.3K | Elias Ymer $163 | — |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | Yes $757 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $561 | — | No $1.1K |
| Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.3K | Over $27 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $851 | Yes $326 | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $71 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $491 | No $524 | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $596 | — | Yes $154 |
| Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $328 | — | Yes $6 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | No $11 | — |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $117 | — | Over $54 |
| Spread: PSV (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | — | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden $15 | PSV $113 | — |
| Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 0 - 3 FK Polissia? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $42 | — | No $50 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $57K | No $4.8K | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel same side · consensus Toby Samuel | — | Toby Samuel $5.9K | Toby Samuel $31K | — |
| Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $27K | No $8.4K | — |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $22K | No $7.0K | — |
| CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Limache: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.9K | Under $2.5K | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-14.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | — | Browns $4.2K | Browns $65 |
| Le Mans FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $3.7K | Under $534 | — |
| Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.0K | No $80 | — |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | — | No $1.1K |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.3K | Yes $48 | — |
| Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.2K | No $73 | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) same side · consensus Falcons | — | — | Falcons $1.6K | Falcons $27 |
| Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | No $49 | — |
| Will Viking FK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.3K | No $116 | — |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.3K | Yes $84 | — |
| Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | No $104 |