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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677NM-P
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6506–6010, n=12516)45% (10–12, n=22)83% (5378–1106, n=6484)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.3M$5.3M$47K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #528
Sides with the consensus62% (18 of 29 open)74% (177 of 239 open)no open consensus position77% (79 of 103 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 100% of 256)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 100% of 859)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)22% (won 100% of 884)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)51% (won 100% of 2087)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

40 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677NM-P
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $912—Yes $320
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $25
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $765—Over $45
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $614—No $142
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $700—No $21
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $553—No $29
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $170—Seahawks $398
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $307—No $157
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $267—Yes $190
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Broncos $300—Panthers $14
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $108—Lions $169
Will AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $116—No $125
Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $4—Yes $63
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $12—No $36
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.7K—Yes $802
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.2K—No $879
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $4.1K
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3.2K—Yes $71
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3K—No $1.0K
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4K—No $486
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $289—No $1.5K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $3
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $810—No $620
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $593—No $806
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $751—No $510
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $441—No $759
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $7
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $247—No $831
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $975—No $52
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $846—No $136
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $597—No $285
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $426—No $439
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $54—No $742
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $399—No $394
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $739—No $44
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $433—No $331
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $558—No $111
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $610—Under $52
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $359—No $240
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $301—No $254
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $284—No $236
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $412—No $69
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $348—No $131
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $119—No $358
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $248—No $162
Will FC København win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $189
Will FC Twente win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $156—No $151
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $156—No $128
Will Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1—Yes $220
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $27—No $59