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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | NM-P | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6492–5998, n=12490) | 83% (5363–1106, n=6469) | 50% (1106–1119, n=2225) | 50% (20828–20526, n=41354) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $47K | $3.6M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #525 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (192 of 265 open) | 74% (83 of 112 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (41 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 6% (won 100% of 256) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 21% (won 100% of 859) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 22% (won 100% of 884) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 51% (won 100% of 2087) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
68 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | NM-P | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.6K | No $1.4K | — | No $15K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | No $14K | Yes $249 | — | No $3.1K |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.0K | No $1.3K | — | Yes $154 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $14K | Under $1.3K | — | Under $22K |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | No $1.6K | No $23 | — | No $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $9 | — | — | Under $5.2K |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | — | Yes $757 |
| Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $926 | Yes $318 | — | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $422 | — | — | Under $768 |
| Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.1K | Yes $27 | — | — |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $765 | Over $45 | — | — |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $667 | No $142 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $548 | — | — | Yes $172 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | — | Over $5 |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $686 | No $20 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 3 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $25 | — | Yes $671 |
| Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $609 | Yes $19 | — | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268 | — | — | Athletic Club $345 |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | Cardinals $170 | Seahawks $398 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | — | — | Under $64 |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $362 | No $140 | — | — |
| Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $427 | Yes $59 | — | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $116 | — | — | No $289 |
| Broncos vs. Panthers opposite sides · consensus Panthers | Broncos $300 | Panthers $15 | — | — |
| Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $280 | — | — | Yes $6 |
| Lions vs. Dolphins opposite sides · consensus Lions | Dolphins $108 | Lions $169 | — | — |
| Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $75 | No $189 | — | — |
| Will AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $119 | No $125 | — | — |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $103 | — | — | Over $54 |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $125 | — | — | Yes $3 |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $70 | No $51 | — | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $109 | — | — | Yes $2 |
| Jets vs. Chiefs opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Jets $67 | Chiefs $4 | — | — |
| Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5 | No $36 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2 | — | No $10 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | — | No $5.4K |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.9K | Yes $797 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | No $2.7K |
| Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $1.5K | No $3.2K | — | — |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $4.2K | No $217 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Under $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $1.1K | — | — | Under $2.6K |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $2.7K | No $891 | — | — |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | Yes $3.2K | Yes $70 | — | — |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $1.3K | No $1.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | Boluspor $751 | — | — | Boluspor $1.5K |
| Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $2.2K | No $17 | — | — |
| Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | No $1.8K | No $138 | — | — |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $1.5K | No $486 | — | — |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $286 | No $1.5K | — | — |