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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | joseph00677 | rayvanmechelen | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (13333–10716, n=24049) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 53% (3028–2690, n=5718) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $3.2M | $1.8K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #981 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (107 of 165 open) | no open consensus position | 58% (18 of 31 open) | 49% (21 of 43 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 98% of 1147 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 3% (won 97% of 29) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 31% (won 98% of 361) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 52% (won 98% of 594) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 14% (won 98% of 163) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
23 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | rayvanmechelen | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $12K | — | — | Over $1.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $872 | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.8K | — | No $282 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $446 | — | — | Under $1.4K |
| Orleans: Luca Nardi vs Alexander Ritschard opposite sides · consensus Luca Nardi | Alexander Ritschard $327 | — | — | Luca Nardi $865 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | No $873 | — | — | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $491 | — | — | No $524 |
| Vitesse Arnhem vs. De Graafschap: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $333 | — | Over $569 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $837 | — | — | Yes $60 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Hornets $169 | — | — | Cavaliers $708 |
| Lima: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Santiago De la Fuente opposite sides · consensus Carlos Sanchez Jover | Carlos Sanchez Jover $696 | — | — | Santiago De la Fuente $96 |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $686 | — | No $21 | — |
| Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $328 | — | Yes $173 | — |
| Will Vitesse Arnhem win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $383 | — | No $19 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Hawks $183 | — | — | Lakers $210 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $256 | — | — | No $12 |
| Will FC Botoşani win on 2026-11-09? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $223 | — | No $5 | — |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona | CD Pamplona $215 | — | SD Eibar $4 | — |
| Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $197 | — | Under $2 | — |
| Will FK Kharkiv win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $110 | — | Yes $76 | — |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $118 | — | Over $2 | — |
| Lima: Franco Roncadelli vs Juan Sebastian Gomez opposite sides · consensus Franco Roncadelli | Franco Roncadelli $77 | — | — | Juan Sebastian Gomez $4 |
| Will AZ Picerno win on 2026-11-09? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $59 | — | No $10 | — |
| CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $50 | — | Over $9 | — |
| CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $39 | — | Under $7 | — |
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Josh Hokit | Josh Hokit $19 | — | Ciryl Gane $10 | — |
| Club Portugalete vs. Real Unión Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $8 | — | Under $3 | — |
| Lima: Ryo Tabata vs Johan Nikles same side · consensus Ryo Tabata | Ryo Tabata $513 | — | — | Ryo Tabata $20K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $2.4K |
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady same side · consensus Billy Harris | Billy Harris $1.7K | — | — | Billy Harris $6.2K |
| Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Lui Maxted same side · consensus Lui Maxted | Lui Maxted $1.7K | — | — | Lui Maxted $4.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9 | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | No $12 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $95 | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Filip Jeff Planinsek same side · consensus Andres Martin | Andres Martin $806 | — | — | Andres Martin $303 |
| Will France win on 2026-11-12? same side · consensus Yes | No $985 | — | No $18 | — |
| Will SCU Torreense win on 2026-11-09? same side · consensus No | No $471 | — | No $327 | — |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | Boluspor $751 | — | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $721 | — | — | Under $20 |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $166 | — | — | Lakers $461 |
| Spread: Hawks (-1.5) same side · consensus Hawks | Lakers $187 | — | — | Lakers $248 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $173 | — | — | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5) same side · consensus Hornets | Cavaliers $170 | — | — | Cavaliers $111 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $203 | — | — | Under $41 |
| Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Lucas Poullain same side · consensus Lucas Poullain | Calvin Hemery $192 | — | — | Calvin Hemery $35 |
| Will Huddersfield Town AFC win on 2026-11-14? same side · consensus No | No $97 | — | No $6 | — |