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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5919–5290, n=11209)47% (13355–14864, n=28219)50% (19555–19619, n=39174)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$14.8M$3.1M
Tracked as—PM monthly #21PM monthly #23 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (169 of 236 open)55% (21 of 38 open)64% (32 of 50 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $943Under $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4KOver $2.4KUnder $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.0KYes $7No $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $35Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $42No $1.3KYes $36
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $347
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $117Yes $162No $288
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.3KNo $1.5KNo $3.3K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $115No $3.3KNo $3.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $100Under $1.1KUnder $931
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
opposite sides · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
—Aliaksandra Sasnovich $24KTalia Gibson $26K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $382Under $7.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3.1KNo $3.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $223
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
—Sarah Van Emst $210Deborah Chiesa $1.2K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $420—Under $762
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466No $529—
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $534—Yes $175
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $495—Yes $192
Buriram United leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $467Yes $52—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $90No $139
M25 Valencia: Carles Hernandez vs Marcel Zielinski
opposite sides · consensus Marcel Zielinski
—Marcel Zielinski $136Carles Hernandez $26—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $94—Yes $3
CD Tarancón vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $51—Under $4
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $39KUnder $45—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $503—No $16K
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
same side · consensus Jeline Vandromme
—Jeline Vandromme $3.9KJeline Vandromme $12K—
Bratislava 2: Vitaliy Sachko vs Otto Virtanen
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
—Otto Virtanen $1.6KOtto Virtanen $10K—
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.5K—Yes $6.0K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.8K—Under $2.4K
M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Sergio Planella Hernandez
same side · consensus Samuele Pieri
—Samuele Pieri $2.1KSamuele Pieri $1.6K—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $639—Under $2.6K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7K—No $1.2K
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.1K—Yes $161
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
—No $380No $663—
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $749—Yes $273
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $163—Under $741
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $311—Under $416
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $666—Over $5
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
same side · consensus Pavlos Tsitsipas
—Pavlos Tsitsipas $456Pavlos Tsitsipas $10—
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239Under $46—
M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright
same side · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner
—Jeremy Gschwendtner $114Jeremy Gschwendtner $150—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127—CD Pamplona $6
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $56Under $44