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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| blue.birds | Flaznorp | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 36% (1902–3442, n=5344) | 53% (5919–5290, n=11209) | 47% (13355–14864, n=28219) | 50% (19555–19619, n=39174) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.3K | $3.3M | $14.8M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #454 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 71% (170 of 241 open) | 62% (24 of 39 open) | 64% (32 of 50 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −6 pts, n=1141 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 16% of 1141 at avg 22¢, ROI −4% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 74% (won 1% of 843) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 13% of 87) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 53% of 93) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 97% of 118) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
27 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | blue.birds | Flaznorp | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $943 | Under $21K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | Over $2.4K | Under $3.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.0K | Yes $7 | No $2.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $35 | Under $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $42 | No $1.3K | Yes $36 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $347 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $117 | Yes $162 | No $288 |
| Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | — | No $6.3K | No $1.5K | No $3.3K |
| Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | — | No $115 | No $3.3K | No $3.1K |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $747 | Boluspor $44 | Boluspor $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $100 | Under $1.1K | Under $931 |
| Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $311 | — | No $26K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $382 | Under $7.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $3.1K | No $3.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Under $5.2K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $223 |
| W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa | — | Sarah Van Emst $210 | Deborah Chiesa $1.2K | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $420 | — | Under $762 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $466 | No $529 | — |
| Buriram United leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $853 | Yes $52 | — |
| CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $534 | — | Yes $175 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $495 | — | Yes $192 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $90 | No $139 |
| M25 Valencia: Carles Hernandez vs Marcel Zielinski opposite sides · consensus Marcel Zielinski | — | Marcel Zielinski $136 | Carles Hernandez $26 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $94 | — | Yes $3 |
| CD Tarancón vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $51 | — | Under $4 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe same side · consensus Quentin Halys | — | Quentin Halys $25K | Quentin Halys $40K | — |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $39K | Under $45 | — |
| Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme same side · consensus Jeline Vandromme | — | Jeline Vandromme $6.4K | Jeline Vandromme $12K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $2.5K | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $503 | — | No $16K |
| Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.5K | — | Yes $6.0K |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.8K | — | Under $2.4K |
| M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Sergio Planella Hernandez same side · consensus Samuele Pieri | — | Samuele Pieri $2.1K | Samuele Pieri $1.6K | — |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $639 | — | Under $2.6K |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.7K | — | No $1.2K |
| Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.8K | Under $6 | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1.1K | — | Yes $161 |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? same side · consensus No | — | No $380 | No $663 | — |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $749 | — | Yes $273 |
| Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $340 | Over $668 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $163 | — | Under $741 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $311 | — | Under $416 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $666 | — | Over $5 |
| M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pavlos Tsitsipas same side · consensus Pavlos Tsitsipas | — | Pavlos Tsitsipas $457 | Pavlos Tsitsipas $10 | — |
| FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $239 | Under $46 | — |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | — | CD Pamplona $127 | — | CD Pamplona $6 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $56 | Under $44 |
| Exact Score: Buriram United 1 - 0 Kashima Antlers? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $29 | Yes $1 | — |