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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighlalalalalalallalalalalaprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)43% (129–174, n=303)no settled market62% (13–8, n=21)67% (355–171, n=526)
Consensus PnL$115K—-$16K-$102K
Tracked asPM monthly #40was PM monthly #736PM monthly #66PM monthly #43 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (58 of 115 open)no open consensus position52% (13 of 25 open)60% (100 of 166 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
not computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=11, ROI +48%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%—100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 9)—9% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 63)—27% (won 100% of 3)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 61)—64% (won 100% of 7)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 100% of 18)—0%33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

28 on the same side, 43 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighlalalalalalallalalalalaprimmRN1
Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $20K—Under $9.3KOver $4.0K
Kent State vs. Bowling Green
opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green
Kent State $2.7K—Kent State $8.3KBowling Green $19K
Spread: Bowling Green (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green
Kent State $2.8K—Bowling Green $5.8KBowling Green $1.4K
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)
opposite sides · consensus Ohio
Miami (OH) $1.5K—Miami (OH) $2.5KOhio $5.8K
Spread: Bowling Green (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green
Bowling Green $2.4K—Kent State $3.7KBowling Green $2.6K
Spread: Ohio (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ohio
Miami (OH) $474—Ohio $1.8KMiami (OH) $1.1K
Kent State vs. Bowling Green: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $56—Over $2.4KOver $810
Spread: Ohio (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (OH)
Miami (OH) $284—Ohio $1.9KMiami (OH) $920
Spread: Bowling Green (-6.5)
same side · consensus Kent State
Bowling Green $16—Bowling Green $6.3KBowling Green $1.6K
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $21K——Jazz $72
Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $13KUnder $1.1K
Spread: Western Michigan (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan
Western Michigan $12K—Akron $82—
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 205.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $4.9K——Under $227
Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green
Kent State $1.3K——Bowling Green $1.7K
Spread: Ohio (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (OH)
——Ohio $2.5KMiami (OH) $9
Spread: Bowling Green (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kent State
——Kent State $1.3KBowling Green $975
Spread: Ohio (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ohio
Miami (OH) $2——Ohio $2.1K
Spread: Bowling Green (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green
——Kent State $751Bowling Green $1.0K
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.6K——Under $74
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $117——Under $1.1K
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $428——Knicks $754
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Celtics $830——76ers $334
Spread: Miami (OH) (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ohio
——Ohio $832Miami (OH) $226
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Knicks $826——Bucks $136
W75 Brisbane: Yuki Naito vs Mei Yamaguchi
opposite sides · consensus Mei Yamaguchi
Yuki Naito $289——Mei Yamaguchi $640
Spread: Knicks (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Bucks $38——Knicks $798
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Clippers $611——Suns $208
Spread: Ohio (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ohio
——Miami (OH) $529Ohio $214
Kent State vs. Bowling Green: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $381—Over $212—
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Clippers $212——Suns $331
Western Michigan vs. Akron
opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan
Akron $98——Western Michigan $386
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $42——Under $421
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $48——Under $409
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $252——Under $194
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $327——Over $89
Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $358Under $15
Spread: Heat (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Heat $95——Jazz $254
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $98——Heat $248
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky Wildcats
Kansas Jayhawks $214——Kentucky Wildcats $119
W75 Brisbane: Eva Bennemann vs Sijia Wei
opposite sides · consensus Sijia Wei
Sijia Wei $145——Eva Bennemann $175
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Bucks $19——Knicks $255
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Clippers $48——Suns $214
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Northern Iowa Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Northern Iowa Panthers
Green Bay Phoenix $2——Northern Iowa Panthers $232
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 203.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2——Under $20
Knoxville: Marcos Giron vs Maks Kasnikowski
same side · consensus Marcos Giron
Marcos Giron $19K——Marcos Giron $17K
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
76ers $33K——76ers $120
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canadiens
Canadiens $21K——Canadiens $145
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $17K——Under $963
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $7.4K——Under $49
Kent State vs. Bowling Green: O/U 45.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $5.3KOver $36