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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | joseph00677 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (13333–10716, n=24049) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 50% (18439–18335, n=36774) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $3.2M | $2.3M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #584 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (105 of 160 open) | no open consensus position | 55% (64 of 116 open) | 55% (23 of 42 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 92% of 12930 at avg 61¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 8% (won 60% of 989) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 21% (won 87% of 2698) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 38% (won 95% of 4911) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 34% (won 99% of 4332) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
39 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $12K | — | Under $1.5K | Over $1.8K |
| Lima: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Santiago De la Fuente opposite sides · consensus Santiago De la Fuente | Carlos Sanchez Jover $702 | — | Carlos Sanchez Jover $11 | Santiago De la Fuente $1.1K |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Cavaliers $170 | — | Hornets $285 | Cavaliers $111 |
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady same side · consensus Billy Harris | Billy Harris $1.7K | — | Billy Harris $6.9K | Billy Harris $6.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $872 | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch | Tom Gentzsch $2.2K | — | — | Max Houkes $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $446 | — | — | Under $1.4K |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.7K | — | Yes $11 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | No $873 | — | — | Yes $315 |
| Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Lucas Poullain opposite sides · consensus Lucas Poullain | Lucas Poullain $1.1K | — | — | Calvin Hemery $35 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $491 | — | — | No $524 |
| CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $448 | — | Over $565 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $837 | — | — | Yes $60 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Hornets $169 | — | — | Cavaliers $708 |
| Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $213 | — | Yes $428 | — |
| Lakers vs. Hawks opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Lakers $370 | — | Hawks $255 | — |
| Will Vitesse Arnhem vs. De Graafschap end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $132 | — | Yes $429 | — |
| Pacers vs. Mavericks opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Mavericks $438 | — | Pacers $9 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Hawks $183 | — | — | Lakers $210 |
| Monastir: Semen Pankin vs Maxime Janvier opposite sides · consensus Maxime Janvier | Semen Pankin $281 | — | Maxime Janvier $3 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $256 | — | — | No $12 |
| Exact Score: FK Livyi Bereh 0 - 0 FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi? opposite sides · consensus No | No $176 | — | Yes $49 | — |
| Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $93 | — | Yes $78 | — |
| Will Huddersfield Town AFC win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus No | No $97 | — | Yes $37 | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Zizou Bergs opposite sides · consensus Holger Rune | Holger Rune $62 | — | Zizou Bergs $67 | — |
| Will FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $18 | — | Yes $105 | — |
| CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $50 | — | Over $24 | — |
| CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $39 | — | Under $2 | — |
| Lima: Ryo Tabata vs Johan Nikles same side · consensus Ryo Tabata | Ryo Tabata $1.7K | — | — | Ryo Tabata $20K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $2.4K |
| Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko same side · consensus Polona Hercog | — | — | Polona Hercog $1.1K | Polona Hercog $9.7K |
| Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $8.0K | — | No $264 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Rockets same side · consensus Rockets | Rockets $1.1K | — | Rockets $4.8K | — |
| Lima: Franco Roncadelli vs Juan Sebastian Gomez same side · consensus Franco Roncadelli | Franco Roncadelli $70 | — | Franco Roncadelli $2.4K | — |
| Nepal Premier League: Chitwan Rhinos vs Kathmandu Gurkhas same side · consensus Kathmandu Gurkhas | Kathmandu Gurkhas $210 | — | Kathmandu Gurkhas $2.0K | — |
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) same side · consensus Josh Hokit | Josh Hokit $19 | — | Josh Hokit $2.0K | — |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $239 | — | Yes $1.6K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9 | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will FK Kharkiv win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $1.4K | — | No $36 | — |
| Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.1K | — | No $173 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $95 | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Will Riga FC vs. FC RFS end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | No $131 | — | No $947 | — |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | Boluspor $751 | — | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $721 | — | — | Under $20 |
| Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | Yes $659 | — | Yes $55 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $166 | — | — | Lakers $461 |
| Spread: Warriors (-9.5) same side · consensus Warriors | Warriors $481 | — | Warriors $90 | — |