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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1NM-P
Record (consensus markets)52% (6492–5998, n=12490)63% (988–572, n=1560)83% (5363–1106, n=6469)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$3.2M$47K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #104PM monthly #525
Sides with the consensus71% (175 of 245 open)75% (100 of 133 open)73% (77 of 105 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)6% (won 100% of 256)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 100% of 859)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)22% (won 100% of 884)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)51% (won 100% of 2087)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

45 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1NM-P
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14K—Yes $249
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $5.2K—Tereza Valentova $107
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.6K—No $1.4K
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.0K—No $1.3K
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K—Yes $27
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $926—Yes $195
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $765—Over $45
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $667—No $142
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $609—Yes $19
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Cardinals $170—Seahawks $398
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $362—No $75
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
Broncos $300—Panthers $15
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Dolphins $108—Lions $169
Will AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $119—No $125
Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $70—No $51
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $75—No $22
Jets vs. Chiefs
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Jets $67—Chiefs $4
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5—No $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $14K—Under $1.3K
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K—No $3.1K
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $4.2K—No $217
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.2K—Yes $11
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K—No $1.0K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $2.2K—No $17
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K—No $486
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $286—No $1.4K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.6K—No $23
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $802—No $614
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $593—No $808
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $751—No $510
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K—No $7
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $983—No $34
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $864—No $147
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $448—No $477
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $413—No $460
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $55—No $731
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $739—No $44
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $255—No $505
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $367—No $328
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $453—No $236
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $233—No $439
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $403—No $265
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $563—No $92
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $550—No $83
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $390—No $128
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $442—No $75
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $85—No $349
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $248—No $135
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $168—No $194
Will FC København win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $170—Yes $185