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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1NM-Pprimm
Record (consensus markets)52% (6450–5961, n=12411)65% (902–484, n=1386)83% (5318–1097, n=6415)50% (1106–1117, n=2223)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.8M$47K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #101PM monthly #523PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus73% (149 of 205 open)71% (107 of 151 open)77% (74 of 96 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)6% (won 100% of 256)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 100% of 859)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)22% (won 100% of 884)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)51% (won 100% of 2087)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

41 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1NM-Pprimm
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14K—Yes $249—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.6K—No $1.4K—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.0K—No $1.3K—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $593—No $531—
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $667—No $144—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Cardinals $170—Seahawks $400—
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $362—No $84—
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $323—Over $45—
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Dolphins $110—Lions $170—
Will AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $119—No $124—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $96—Tereza Valentova $107—
Jets vs. Chiefs
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Jets $67—Chiefs $4—
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5—No $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $14K—Under $1.3K—
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $4.2K—No $217—
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K—No $2.2K—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K—No $919—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $2.2K—No $17—
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K—No $490—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.6K—No $23—
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $365—No $1.3K—
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $286—No $1.2K—
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $802—No $614—
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $593—No $808—
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $759—No $515—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K—No $7—
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $983—No $35—
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $853—No $147—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $448—No $471—
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $413—No $460—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $739—No $44—
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $255—No $508—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $453—No $244—
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $233—No $439—
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $367—No $220—
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $390—No $131—
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $442—No $75—
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $489—No $3—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $85—No $311—
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $264—No $115—
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $168—No $194—
Will FC København win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $170—Yes $185—
Will FC Twente win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $173—No $153—
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $130—No $138—
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $84—No $147—
Will Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1—Yes $220—
Will CD Tarancón win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $91—No $82—
Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $89—Yes $65—
Will Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $54—Yes $73—
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $96—No $18—