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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Hawk.live | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (41–49, n=90) | 45% (5–6, n=11) | 43% (130–174, n=304) | 68% (360–171, n=531) |
| Consensus PnL | -$451K | $4.3K | $100K | -$115K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #710 | PM monthly #40 | PM monthly #43 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (17 of 28 open) | no open consensus position | 52% (58 of 111 open) | 58% (96 of 165 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | Esports ±0 pts, n=472 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 55% of 477 at avg 55¢, ROI −4% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 23% (won 4% of 109) | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 16% (won 27% of 74) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 27% (won 69% of 128) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 35% (won 92% of 166) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
32 on the same side, 36 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Hawk.live | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $17K | — | Heat $23K | Jazz $64 |
| Spread: Knicks (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Knicks $2.4K | — | Bucks $50 | Knicks $778 |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green | Kent State $123 | — | Kent State $775 | Bowling Green $1.7K |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $6 | — | Jazz $1.6K | Heat $205 |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $29 | — | Jazz $84 | Heat $250 |
| Knoxville: Marcos Giron vs Maks Kasnikowski same side · consensus Marcos Giron | Marcos Giron $36K | — | Marcos Giron $19K | Marcos Giron $20K |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) same side · consensus Suns | Suns $5.2K | — | Suns $42K | Suns $412 |
| San Diego Toreros vs. Colorado Buffaloes same side · consensus Colorado Buffaloes | Colorado Buffaloes $30K | — | Colorado Buffaloes $2.1K | Colorado Buffaloes $151 |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) same side · consensus Celtics | 76ers $8.6K | — | 76ers $10 | 76ers $1.7K |
| Spread: Knicks (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Bucks $312 | — | Knicks $52K | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $44K | — | — | Jazz $1.6K |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $20K | Over $3.4K |
| Kent State vs. Bowling Green opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green | — | — | Kent State $2.3K | Bowling Green $19K |
| Spread: Western Michigan (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan | — | — | Western Michigan $16K | Akron $859 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A opposite sides · consensus FURIA | FURIA $11K | — | Legacy $3.3K | — |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 205.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $5.3K | Under $463 |
| Spread: Celtics (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | 76ers $2 | — | Celtics $4.3K | — |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green | — | — | Kent State $1.8K | Bowling Green $1.8K |
| Spread: Knicks (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $1.5K | — | Knicks $887 | — |
| Spread: Ohio (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ohio | — | — | Miami (OH) $2 | Ohio $2.2K |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Kent State | — | — | Kent State $61 | Bowling Green $2.2K |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $2.0K | Under $77 |
| Spread: Knicks (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $1.3K | — | — | Knicks $751 |
| W75 Brisbane: Yuki Naito vs Mei Yamaguchi opposite sides · consensus Mei Yamaguchi | — | — | Yuki Naito $824 | Mei Yamaguchi $310 |
| Kent State vs. Bowling Green: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $134 | Over $739 |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | — | Celtics $478 | 76ers $351 |
| Spread: Suns (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | — | Clippers $485 | Suns $218 |
| Spread: Suns (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | — | Clippers $217 | Suns $348 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $50 | Under $356 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $194 | Under $199 |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $341 | Over $49 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $47 | Under $329 |
| Spread: Heat (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | — | Heat $111 | Jazz $233 |
| Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Kentucky Wildcats | — | — | Kansas Jayhawks $220 | Kentucky Wildcats $111 |
| W75 Brisbane: Eva Bennemann vs Sijia Wei opposite sides · consensus Sijia Wei | — | — | Sijia Wei $146 | Eva Bennemann $175 |
| Spread: Knicks (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | — | Bucks $2 | Knicks $259 |
| Spread: Suns (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | — | Clippers $50 | Suns $208 |
| Panthers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $200 | Under $8 |
| Spread: Suns (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | — | Clippers $85 | Suns $40 |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 203.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $4 | Under $4 |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $127K | — | Magic $425 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | — | 76ers $44K | 76ers $160 |
| Spread: Wild (-1.5) same side · consensus Canadiens | — | — | Canadiens $22K | Canadiens $142 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $239 | — | Under $21K | — |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH) same side · consensus Ohio | Miami (OH) $15K | — | Miami (OH) $2.0K | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $7.8K | Under $51 |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $6.6K | Over $165 |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-2.5) same side · consensus Bowling Green | — | — | Bowling Green $3.0K | Bowling Green $3.3K |
| Spread: Suns (-10.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | — | Suns $5.1K | Suns $264 |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $4.0K | — | — | Over $41 |