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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorprayvanmechelenRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)55% (13298–10666, n=23964)53% (2999–2667, n=5666)48% (19574–21323, n=40897)51% (28350–27349, n=55699)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$4.0K$14.9M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #14was PM monthly #981PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus70% (94 of 134 open)54% (15 of 28 open)56% (15 of 27 open)64% (47 of 73 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=1035, ROI +44%
  • Tennis +49 pts n=27, ROI +46%
  • NBA +50 pts n=23, ROI +50%
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%98% of 1147 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)3% (won 97% of 29)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)31% (won 98% of 361)22% (won 94% of 5704)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)52% (won 98% of 594)35% (won 99% of 9204)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)14% (won 98% of 163)33% (won 100% of 8622)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

29 on the same side, 36 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorprayvanmechelenRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7KUnder $20K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.7KNo $296—No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859—Over $3.0KUnder $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36Under $1.5K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2KNo $12—Yes $752
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4KUnder $67
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $686No $21—No $929
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $721—Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $328Yes $173—Yes $6
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $118Over $2—Over $54
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona $131SD Eibar $5—CD Pamplona $6
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $51—Over $29Under $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1KUnder $872
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203—Under $41Under $801
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $10——Under $5.2K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $74
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491—No $524—
Vitesse Arnhem vs. De Graafschap: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $336Over $563——
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $596——Yes $154
Will Vitesse Arnhem win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $406No $19——
Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FK Polissia
—FK Kolos Kovalivka $15—FK Polissia $270
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $256—No $12—
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $197Under $2——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $14—Under $181—
Will FK Kharkiv win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $110Yes $76——
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 0 - 3 FK Polissia?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $32——No $62
CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $50Over $9——
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $39Under $7——
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Josh Hokit
Josh Hokit $20Ciryl Gane $10——
Club Portugalete vs. Real Unión Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $8Under $3——
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $7—Yes $3
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K——No $1.2K
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K——No $118
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0K——Yes $153
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $754——Yes $279
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $412——Under $606
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $956——Over $7
Will France win on 2026-11-12?
same side · consensus Yes
No $784No $18——
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $161——Over $215
Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $40——No $200