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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | NM-P | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6492–5998, n=12490) | 83% (5363–1106, n=6469) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.3M | $47K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #525 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (26 of 34 open) | 72% (175 of 244 open) | 73% (77 of 105 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 6% (won 100% of 256) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 21% (won 100% of 859) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 22% (won 100% of 884) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 51% (won 100% of 2087) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
45 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | NM-P |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $14K | Yes $249 |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala | — | Alexandra Eala $5.2K | Tereza Valentova $107 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2.6K | No $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.0K | No $1.3K |
| Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | Yes $27 |
| Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $926 | Yes $195 |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $765 | Over $45 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $667 | No $142 |
| Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $609 | Yes $19 |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | Cardinals $170 | Seahawks $398 |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $362 | No $75 |
| Broncos vs. Panthers opposite sides · consensus Panthers | — | Broncos $300 | Panthers $15 |
| Lions vs. Dolphins opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Dolphins $108 | Lions $169 |
| Will AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $119 | No $125 |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $70 | No $51 |
| Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $75 | No $22 |
| Jets vs. Chiefs opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Jets $67 | Chiefs $4 |
| Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $5 | No $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $14K | Under $1.3K |
| Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | No $3.1K |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.2K | No $217 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $3.2K | Yes $11 |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.3K | No $1.0K |
| Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.2K | No $17 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | No $486 |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $286 | No $1.4K |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | No $23 |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $802 | No $614 |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $593 | No $808 |
| Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $751 | No $510 |
| Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | No $7 |
| Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $983 | No $34 |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $864 | No $147 |
| Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $448 | No $477 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $413 | No $460 |
| Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $55 | No $731 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $739 | No $44 |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $255 | No $505 |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $367 | No $328 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $453 | No $236 |
| Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $233 | No $439 |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $403 | No $265 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $563 | No $92 |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $550 | No $83 |
| Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $390 | No $128 |
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $442 | No $75 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $85 | No $349 |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $248 | No $135 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $168 | No $194 |
| Will FC København win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $170 | Yes $185 |